The paper reports the results of a survey designed to elicit probability judgements for different types of events: 'pure chance' events, for which objective probabilities can be calculated; 'public' ...
Subjective Probability In the course of their daily lives men must constantly measure the probability of events. How these personal judgements conform to the actual laws of probability is investigated ...
Roth, A. E., and F. Schoumaker. "Subjective Probability and the Theory of Games: Some Further Comment." Management Science 29, no. 11 (November 1983): 1337–1340.
Recent models for fertility decision-making emphasize that subjective probabilities and beliefs may be as important determinants of fertility decisions as are attitudes, values, and utilities. This ...